Consider the Market
One adage that holds true despite real estate market cycle ups-and-downs is that it’s always a good time to buy if you’re ready for homeownership, are committed to the long-term investment and you can afford it. For buyers who are ready today, now is an excellent time to buy a home. Today home buyers are experiencing conditions for the best buyer’s market since the mid 1990s. Interest rates remain at historical lows, there is plenty of traditional mortgage money available, there’s a lot of inventory, sellers are motivated and home prices have dropped. Despite the great home-buying climate, some potential buyers remain on the fence, confused by the onslaught of negative media attention paid to the real estate industry.
• Mortgage loan interest rates are low. The adage that interest rates have nowhere to go but up remains accurate when looking at interest rates for mortgages over the past few years. In 1999, for example, eight percent was considered a low rate and in the late ‘80s, mortgage interest rates were in the double-digits.
• There is plenty of conventional mortgage loan money on the market. The subprime mess that has brought many investors to their knees is completely unrelated to the typical buyer who seeks a traditional, fixed-rate mortgage product. As long as this buyer has a job, good credit and a down payment, he could get a mortgage loan that’s probably in the low six percent range. A home buyer packing a pre-approved mortgage loan has sellers eating out of his hand right now.
• Inventory is high. Generally, the days of bidding wars are over. Home buyers today can spend their time looking at houses without having to worry about whether they might lose the deal if they failed to act immediately. The wide range of inventory also heats up the competition among sellers.
• Motivated Sellers. The market for buyers is so good right now that most for-sale homes are on the market because they must sell. Motivated sellers may not be the happiest lot to buy from, but they are willing to consider all types of concessions in their bid to win the buyer.
• Home prices have dropped. Home price appreciation over the years was quick and substantial – pricing a lot of buyers out of the market. Potential buyers should welcome lower prices offered today. For the first time, the National Association of Realtors reported that the national median home price dropped. This news has scared some buyers but a closer look at the numbers shows that the drop is miniscule compared with the unprecedented home price appreciation we’ve seen over the past 10 years. And, there is no national median – all real estate markets are local. Take a closer look at the numbers using the following real example:
In December 1999, a house in an East Bay suburb sold for $200k. The entire balance was financed using a 30-year fixed-rate loan with an eight percent rate. The monthly payment was about $1,200. The same house sold six years later for $525k. The buyer financed the entire balance at six percent interest and his monthly payment is about $3,100. Today Zestimate values the same at house at $450k. That’s a big drop for the homeowner, but the decline doesn’t impact monthly costs much when you look at the big picture.
Suppose you bought the house today at $450k using a 30-year loan fixed at six percent. Your monthly mortgage would be about $2,700. Suppose over the next two years interest rates rise to eight percent and your home value plunges to $350k. At eight percent, the monthly payment is $2,600. The monthly price difference is nominal and a $100,000 value drop in the East Bay suburb is considered unlikely.
Now is definitely the time to buy. What are you waiting for?
Labels: Oakland Real Estate